China GDP: 5.3% first-quarter rise better than expected as recovery regains momentum

“A major headwind is the potential trade friction in the West, including additional tariffs, especially as the US has recently blamed China for the overcapacity issues, this is posing a challenge to China’s trade sector.”
Elsewhere, retail sales rose by 3.1 per cent in March year on year compared to the 5.5 per cent growth in combined figures for January and February, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday.

Fixed-asset investment grew by 4.5 per cent in the first three month from a year earlier, compared with an increase of 4.2 per cent rise in the first two months of the year.

Property investment, a key drag to the GDP growth last year, fell by 9.5 per cent in the first quarter year on year, compared to a fall of 9 per cent in the first two months of the year.

Meanwhile, private investment – a gauge of investor confidence – grew by 0.5 per cent in the first three months of the year.

China’s industrial output rose by 4.5 per cent year on year last month.

And the overall urban unemployment rate stood at 5.2 per cent in March, compared with 5.3 per cent in the first two months of the year.

Beijing has set its annual growth target at “around 5 per cent”, but it is seen as bold due to last year’s high base and the continued slump in the property sector.

Ding at Standard Chartered Bank estimated China’s economy would grow by 4.8 per cent this year due to challenges in the second half of the year.

More to follow …