China must ‘liberate’ mind, embrace primary market treasury-bond purchases by central bank: finance ministry researcher

Liu is a member of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, the country’s top political advisory body, and also sits on such organisations as the Chinese Economists 50 Forum.

The primary market is where new securities, including stocks and bonds, are issued and sold for the first time, while the secondary market is where already issued securities are bought and sold by investors.

Liu’s comment came after it was revealed in March that President Xi Jinping had ordered the People’s Bank of China to “gradually increase the trading of treasury bonds in its open market operations” at the twice-a-decade central financial work conference at the end of October.

In April, the finance ministry and the central bank said in separate statements that the trading of treasury bonds could be used.

Chinese law, though, forbids the central bank from buying treasury bonds directly to prevent debt monetisation – a legacy drawn from lessons of the 1980s when high inflation became a major problem.

But China has long planned to revise the Law of The People’s Bank of China, although no details have been revealed.

In the secondary market, the central bank bought bonds for the purpose of monetary policy operations in 1997 and to facilitate the establishment of the China Investment Corporation – China’s sovereign wealth fund – in 2007.

The PBOC denied the newly proposed secondary-market purchases are Western-style quantitative easing in its statement in April, citing that there was still a firewall between the primary market.
Finance ministry officials are generally more zealous over the thought of a greater involvement by the central bank in bond trading, as the ministry is now selling 1 trillion yuan (US$138 billion) worth of ultra-long special treasury bonds.
The boundary between the primary and secondary markets has been blurred and it’s merely a matter of definition,
Liu Shangxi, Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences

And although Liu’s speech is more of an academic discussion, lingering worries remain over fiscal monetisation, as it could lead to an increased supply of money and high inflation.

There are also growing efforts to push for policy changes ahead of the reform-centric third plenum in July.

Liu, however, argued that China must reflect on traditional thoughts over fiscal overdrafts.

“The boundary between the primary and secondary markets has been blurred and it’s merely a matter of definition,” he said, citing the PBOC operations in 1997 and 2007, both of which were done through state-owned commercial banks.

“They were not that dissimilar to direct purchases.”

Whether a tool or policy is unconventional or not is relative, depending on the need and the circumstances
Liu Shangxi, Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences

Instead, he warned such a firewall between the primary and secondary markets would hinder policy coordination between the two major economic agencies.

“We don’t need to worry too much about fiscal overdrafts, nor regard the boundaries between the primary and secondary markets as insurmountable. We must liberate the mind and re-understand it,” Liu added.

China is aiming to grow its economy by around 5 per cent this year, with all key financial and economic authorities tasked with helping to achieve the goal.
Monetary authorities, though, have so far maintained an accommodative monetary policy, opting for more conventional tools, such as cutting the reserve requirement ratio for banks and reducing policy interest rates.

Liu also said many overseas central banks could buy stocks or assets owned by business entities.

“Whether a tool or policy is unconventional or not is relative, depending on the need and the circumstances. Just like the fiscal deficit, which we sought to avoid in the past, has now become a conventional tool,” he added.