Arsenal vs Porto betting preview: odds and predictions

A SLOPPY effort from Arsenal in the first leg has left them with work to do in the return game of their Champions League tie with Porto on Tuesday. Will they turn things around?

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Arsenal vs Porto odds

Here are the latest match odds for Arsenal vs Porto from our top-rated football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.

Arsenal vs Porto betting preview

Arsenal may still be kicking themselves for the way they messed up in the first leg of this Champions League last-16 tie.

They needlessly gifted the ball back to Porto in injury time of that game and were punished, albeit the winning strike from Galeno was an outstanding one.

One-nil down, the Gunners now have it all to do, although clearly their form is good enough for them to recover and make the quarter-finals for the first time since the Arsene Wenger days of 2010.

Porto certainly don’t have a good record in England – they’ve never won in the country – but then Arsenal and their fans will also be fully aware of the fact they’ve lost seven consecutive times at this last-16 stage of the competition.

Mikel Arteta’s men really had to work to claim a crucial late victory over Brentford on Saturday evening and you wonder if that effort could have an effect here.

That 2-1 win continued a strong trend – one highlighted on these pages – which has seen the Gunners regularly conceded in a home victory in the Premier League.

Admittedly, they kept three clean sheets at the Emirates in the group stages of this competition but Porto have scored eight in two games since the first leg, including putting five past Benfica.

Including both teams to score looks the way to go if you are backing an Arsenal win but preference is to take a chance on the visitors delivering the upset and progressing from the tie at what looks a tasty 9/4.

Bet on Arsenal vs Porto. 18+ BeGambleAware.org - Please play responsibly.
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Bet on Arsenal vs Porto. 18+ BeGambleAware.org - Please play responsibly.

Arsenal vs Porto key stats

  • Porto have never won on their previous 22 visits to England.
  • Arsenal have lost nine of their last 10 Champions League knockout ties in which they have lost the first leg. However, the odd-one-out was against Porto in 2009/10.
  • Bukayo Saka scored and assisted in all three home games in the group stage of this season’s Champions League.
  • First-leg goalscorer Galeno has five goals and three assists in his six Champions League appearances this season.
  • Gabriel Martinelli is set to miss out again due to a cut foot but David Raya will return in goal for Arsenal. Porto may have Iran forward Mehdi Taremi available again after a recent injury which forced him to miss the first leg.

Arsenal vs Porto best bets

Find our best bets for Arsenal vs Porto below. Odds for the bets are provided by the best sportsbooks per our expert reviews. Odds in the betting tips are subject to change.

Cristian Romero anytime scorer

OK, Arsenal are going well but they’ve really put some unnecessary pressure on themselves in this tie by losing the first leg late on.
Porto have been buoyed since that first leg, notably crushing arch rivals Benfica 5-0, and a repeat of their effort in Portugal would make things difficult for an Arsenal side who struggled past Brentford on Saturday.

Gunners fans will know March has been a problem period for their side in the past and an uneasy atmosphere could develop if Porto are able to keep this tight early on.

At the price, the visitors look worth a bet.

Back Porto to qualify at 9/4 with Spreadex

Kai Havertz 2+ fouls

Only one player has committed more fouls in this season’s Champions League than Arsenal man Havertz.

He’s now landed this bet in four of his five starts in the competition and there’s clearly potential for the hosts – and the German – to be come frustrated.

Likely to start at centre-forward, he’ll be roughed up by a master of the dark arts in Pepe and should deliver at least two fouls for his backers.

Back Havertz to commit 2+ fouls at 8/11 with bet365

Wendell to be carded

The Porto left-back has a decent history for cards – this season he’s received one in seven of his 24 appearances which immediately makes this price look big.

In this game, he’ll face a tough test against Arsenal’s star man, Buyako Saka, and may well be on back foot for most of it.

French referee Clement Turpin isn’t a bad appointment for those seeking cards – he’s shown at least four in 22 of his last 37 UEFA club matches.

Back Wendell to be shown a card at 29/10 at BetUK

How to watch Arsenal vs Porto

  • Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England
  • Time: 20:00 GMT on Tuesday, March 12
  • Where to watch: TNT Sports 1

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