Can China still play a role as peacemaker in Ukraine after US-Russia talks?

US and Russian officials held their first talks on Ukraine this week in Saudi Arabia in a meeting that excluded Kyiv and European representatives – raising fears across the continent that Donald Trump may be willing to sacrifice Ukrainian interests in the hope of a deal with Vladimir Putin.
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China, which has positioned itself as a peacemaker throughout the war, said it was happy to see the US-Russia talks but added that all stakeholders should be involved in negotiations. Trump has also said China could play a role in ending the war, but has not explained how.

Beijing is reportedly willing to provide security guarantees for any peace deal and some observers believe it would like a peacekeeping role, but questions remain over the extent of its commitment and whether Ukraine and Russia would accept its involvement.

At a United Nations Security Council meeting on Tuesday, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said China would continue to work with Global South nations to promote peace following a series of previous efforts by Beijing.

Yun Sun, director of the China programme at the Stimson Centre, a Washington-based think tank, said: “I’d imagine there is a lot of anxiety in China, Ukraine and Europe about what the negotiation means for them. Like the saying goes – ‘You are either at the table or on the menu.’”

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In the early stages of the conflict, Western countries had looked to China to use its influence over Russia, but its hesitation to condemn the war and alleged supply of dual-use goods to support Putin’s war effort have undermined its peace efforts and prompted much criticism.