China’s hi-tech manufacturing faces ‘extraordinary pressures’ as 2023 output stalls

Beijing has pinned its hopes on innovation and technology to power the world’s second-largest economy as it seeks to find new growth engines to replace the real estate sector, address its demographic challenges and move up the advanced industrial chain.

Investment in hi-tech manufacturing grew by 9.9 per cent last year, beating the 6.5 per cent increase seen in the overall manufacturing industry, but the financing still registered the slowest pace since records began in 2015.

Peng Peng, executive chairman of the Guangdong Society of Reform, said the sector is heading into a cooling period after years of rapid expansion.

“The latest economic data indicate that the whole economic recovery is weak, and market confidence in many sectors is shaky, including tech,” he said.

“The hi-tech recovery will require China to return to higher economic growth and counteract US decoupling.

“It also demands the country’s ability to adapt to deglobalisation, but maintain a strong global exporter role.”

Even if these tech manufacturers succeed in going public, the potential sanctions would affect their market valuations
Chen Zhiwu
In December, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said it would increase funding to nurture the transformation of traditional manufacturers into hi-tech producers.

It said China’s hi-tech manufacturing industry was currently facing challenges from insufficient innovation and increasing external pressure.

Chen Zhiwu, a chair professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong, said headwinds such as risks of a global recession and US-China tensions would continue to exert “extraordinary pressures” on China’s hi-tech push.

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“The US tech war has largely thwarted Chinese tech companies’ [initial public offering] opportunities. Even if these tech manufacturers succeed in going public, the potential sanctions would affect their market valuations,” said Chen.

He added China’s weak economic momentum is also weighing on the market’s overall willingness to invest, with hi-tech manufacturing just one element.

“The rapid development of hi-tech industries over the past 20 years has provided China with a massive boost to its economic boom, this was partly due to the impact of a stable external environment on investor confidence,” Chen said.

“Many hi-tech companies I’ve surveyed recently said that market demand for tech products is relatively low, and with uncertain market sentiment, consumers are tightening their wallets so much that companies have to cut back on production.”