CEO of chip maker YMTC says China to see ‘explosive’ semiconductor growth in 3-5 years

“For example, the hottest AI chips are in need of state-of-the-art foundry and packaging technologies,” he said. “It can be predicted that, in the very near future, the importance of packaging technology may exceed the importance of foundry technology.”

Chen noted that there is a lack of consensus in chip development, highlighting the differences in Samsung Electronics’ 3-nanometre process compared with Intel’s.

He also suggested he is pinning his hope for the domestic industry on specialised chips, as chips are now often created for specific applications.

Chen did not mention YMTC in his interview, as he speaking in his capacity as chairman of the industry association.

A cascade of US sanctions on China’s top technology companies and semiconductor foundries, including YMTC, have prompted industry players to form closer ties and rally behind state support to find a way forward.

Chen has called for industry unity in the face of US tech sanctions after being elected head of the CSIA last October. In June 2023, the YMTC chairman suggested that any tool maker unable to deliver or service their equipment should buy it back from customers.

Chen said after making many mistakes in the past, China’s policymakers and industry players are still in search of the best way forward. A long period of trial and error has taught everyone which models are doomed to fail, he added.

Technological progress at YMTC and other Chinese foundries such as Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is being closely monitored as a hallmark of China’s broader tech development, as the US has continued to periodically escalate sanctions targeting the industry.

Chen stopped short of providing a clear answer to the question of whether China could completely catch up with the US in chip making. He suggested that a slowing of “Moore’s Law” – the observation that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit doubles about every two years – is beneficial for China because it helps fuel innovation in other technologies such as advanced packaging.